OxRisk (@Oxrisk) is a project by the Forensic Psychiatry and Psychology group at the University of Oxford.

We have developed eight freely available web-based risk calculators:

OxRec – Risk of Recidivism Tool, also available in Swedish, Greek, French, Chinese, Russian, Italian, Spanish, Finnish, German, and Polish.

OxMIV – Mental Illness and Violence Tool, also available in Greek, German, French, Chinese, Spanish, Russian, and Italian.*

OxMIS – Mental Illness and Suicide Tool, also available in Arabic, French, Chinese, German, and Spanish.

FoVOx – Forensic Psychiatry and Violence Tool, also available in German, Chinese, Russian, Italian, and Swedish.

FoxWeb – Inpatient violence monitoring tool with a focus on modifiable factors.

OxRIS – Oxford risk of recidivism of sexual offenders, including three separate tools for violent reoffending, any reoffending, and sexual reoffending.

OxSATS – Oxford Suicide AfTer Self-harm Tool – provides a probability score for suicide risk in 6 months and 12 months after a self-harm episode presenting to secondary healthcare (emergency department/specialist care).

Publications

Yu R, Molero Y, Lichtenstein P, Larsson H, Prescott-Mayling L, Howard LM, Fazel S
Development and Validation of a Prediction Tool for Reoffending Risk in Domestic Violence
JAMA Network Open (2023) – doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.25494

Yu R, Molero Y, Långström N, Fanshawe T, Yukhnenko D, Lichtenstein P, Larsson H, and Fazel S
Prediction of reoffending risk in men convicted of sexual offences: development and validation of novel and scalable risk assessment tools (OxRIS)
Journal of Criminal Justice (2022) – https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2022.101935.

Fazel S, Wolf A, Larsson H, Mallett S, Fanshawe TR
The prediction of suicide in severe mental illness: development and validation of a clinical prediction rule (OxMIS)
Translational Psychiatry (2019) – doi:10.1038/s41398-019-0428-3

Wolf A, Fanshawe TR, Sariaslan A, Cornish R, Larsson H, Fazel S
Prediction of violent crime on discharge from secure psychiatric hospitals: a clinical prediction rule (FoVOx)
European Psychiatry (2018) – doi:10.1016/j.eurpsy.2017.07.011

Fazel S, Wolf A, Larsson H, Lichtenstein P, Mallett S, Fanshawe TR
Identification of low risk of violent crime in severe mental illness with a clinical prediction tool (OxMIV): a derivation and validation study
Lancet Psychiatry (2017) – doi:10.1016/S2215-0366(17)30109-8 – protocol [pdf]

Fazel S, Chang Z, Fanshawe T, Långström N, Lichtenstein P, Larsson H, Mallett S
Prediction of violent reoffending on release from prison: derivation and external validation of a scalable tool (OxRec)
Lancet Psychiatry (2016) – doi:10.1016/S2215-0366(16)00103-6

Fazel S, Wolf A, Vazquez-Montes MDLA, Fanshawe TR
Prediction of violent reoffending in prisoners and individuals on probation: a Dutch validation study (OxRec)
Scientific Reports (2019) – https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-018-37539-x

Fazel S, Wolf A.
Selecting a risk assessment tool to use in practice: a 10-point guide
Evid Based Mental Health (2018) – https://ebmh.bmj.com/content/ebmental/21/2/41.full.pdf

Whiting D, Fazel S.
How accurate are suicide risk prediction models? Asking the right questions for clinical practice
Evid Based Mental Health (2019) – Evid Based Ment Health. 2019 Aug 1; 22(3): 125–128.

Fazel, S., Burghart, M., Fanshawe, T., Gil, S.D., Monahan, J. and Yu, R.
The predictive performance of criminal risk assessment tools used at sentencing: systematic review of validation studies
Journal of Criminal Justice (2022) – https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2022.101902.

Ramesh T, Igoumenou A, Montes MV, Fazel S. 
Use of risk assessment instruments to predict violence in forensic psychiatric hospitals: a systematic review and meta-analysis
European Psychiatry (2018) – doi:10.1016/j.eurpsy.2018.02.007

Douglas T, Pugh J, Singh I, Savulescu J, Fazel S
Risk assessment tools in criminal justice and forensic psychiatry: the need for better data
European Psychiatry (2017) – doi:10.1016/j.eurpsy.2016.12.009

Zhou JS, Witt K, Xiang YT, Zhu XM, Wang XP, Fazel S
Violence risk assessment in psychiatric patients in China: a systematic review
Australian & New Zealand Journal of Psychiatry (2016) – doi:10.1177/0004867415585580

Fazel S, Singh JP, Doll H, Grann M 
Use of risk assessment instruments to predict violence and antisocial behaviour in 73 samples involving 24 827 people: systematic review and meta-analysis
BMJ (2012) – doi:10.1136/bmj.e4692

Fazel S, Toynbee M, Ryland H, Vazquez-Montes M, Al-Taiar H, Wolf A, Aziz O, Khosla V, Gulati G, Fanshawe T
Modifiable risk factors for inpatient violence in psychiatric hospital: prospective study and prediction model
Psychological Medicine (2021) – doi:10.1017/S0033291721002063

Webdesign by Achim Wolf

Managed by Rongqin Yu

Acknowledgements