The baseline risk for violent reoffending for FoVOx (based on a Swedish sample) was 6.9% within 12 months and 10.9% within 24 months.

* If one or more of these variables are set to ‘unknown’, a range of risk levels will be displayed.

The content of the OxRisk website (including the risk calculators) is accurate according to the opinions of the authors of the calculators. The information and directions may or may not apply to specific individuals considered for assessment. The calculators provide a ‘best guess’ of likely outcomes based on current knowledge, but cannot provide an accurate prediction for each individual. Determination of appropriate application and scoring of the OxRisk calculators to specific cases and in specific jurisdictions requires the judgement of a clinician or criminal justice professional. OxRisk calculators are intended to be an adjunct to clinical decision-making.

Materials on this website are protected by copyright law. Access to the information on this website should be for the sole purpose of personal, educational and research use only. Where appropriate a single print out of a reasonable proportion of these materials may be made for personal education, research and private study. Materials should not be further copied, photocopied or reproduced, or distributed in electronic form. Any unauthorised use or distribution for commercial purposes is expressly forbidden.

Publications

Development and validation

• Wolf A, Fanshawe TR, Sariaslan A, Cornish R, Larsson H, Fazel S. Prediction of violent crime on discharge from secure psychiatric hospitals: a clinical prediction rule (FoVOx).
  European Psychiatry (2018).

Feasibility and implementation

• Forsman J et al. Integrating static and modifiable risk factors in violence risk assessment for forensic psychiatric patients: a feasibility study of FoVOx.
  Nordic Journal of Psychiatry (2022).
• Zhong S et al. Assessment of violence risk in 440 psychiatric patients in China: examining the feasibility and acceptability of a novel and scalable approach (FoVOx).
  BMC Psychiatry (2021).
• Cornish R et al. A clinical feasibility study of the forensic psychiatry and violence Oxford (FoVOx) tool.
  Frontiers in Psychiatry (2019).

Other research

• MG Ogonah et al. Violence risk assessment instruments in forensic psychiatric populations: a systematic review and meta-analysis.
  Lancet Psychiatry (2023).